Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.053673 0.063006 0.073429 0.085925 0.100494 0.116941 0.136913
2025-08-10 0.040036 0.052394 0.067700 0.088023 0.114279 0.147040 0.191016
2025-08-17 0.030239 0.043041 0.060213 0.084875 0.119340 0.165751 0.232975
2025-08-24 0.024639 0.037586 0.056129 0.084534 0.126862 0.187519 0.280988
2025-08-31 0.020407 0.033065 0.052257 0.083344 0.132312 0.206347 0.326669
2025-09-07 0.017853 0.030520 0.050724 0.085109 0.141998 0.232171 0.385758
2025-09-14 0.015326 0.027527 0.047916 0.084230 0.147074 0.251090 0.436002
2025-09-21 0.013078 0.024600 0.044707 0.082067 0.149481 0.265621 0.480436
2025-09-28 0.011182 0.021968 0.041574 0.079483 0.150618 0.277851 0.522064
2025-10-05 0.010215 0.020893 0.041052 0.081488 0.160158 0.305813 0.595078
2025-10-12 0.009221 0.019600 0.039917 0.082125 0.167121 0.329747 0.663352
2025-10-19 0.008337 0.018388 0.038753 0.082504 0.173549 0.353288 0.733534
2025-10-26 0.007611 0.017418 0.037981 0.083656 0.181855 0.381823 0.817969
2025-11-02 0.007090 0.016812 0.037885 0.086221 0.193456 0.418432 0.923709
2025-11-09 0.006185 0.015198 0.035395 0.083234 0.192745 0.429429 0.976746
2025-11-16 0.005596 0.014225 0.034183 0.082918 0.197847 0.453330 1.060653
2025-11-23 0.005023 0.013199 0.032699 0.081753 0.200829 0.472866 1.137098
2025-11-30 0.004694 0.012726 0.032452 0.083486 0.210795 0.509234 1.256551
2025-12-07 0.004253 0.011897 0.031218 0.082624 0.214377 0.531219 1.344689
2025-12-14 0.003798 0.010957 0.029578 0.080501 0.214543 0.545083 1.414805
2025-12-21 0.003377 0.010042 0.027872 0.077965 0.213310 0.555364 1.477238
2025-12-28 0.003197 0.009780 0.027857 0.079933 0.224092 0.596826 1.623995
2026-01-04 0.002978 0.009368 0.027374 0.080558 0.231361 0.630165 1.753616